  {"id":14478,"date":"2025-09-11T17:55:16","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T16:55:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/event\/metaphysics-and-logic-seminar-patrick-todd-tba\/"},"modified":"2025-12-10T05:23:09","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T05:23:09","slug":"metaphysics-and-logic-seminar-patrick-todd-tba","status":"publish","type":"tribe_events","link":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/event\/metaphysics-and-logic-seminar-patrick-todd-tba\/","title":{"rendered":"Metaphysics and Logic Seminar: Patrick Todd, &#8220;The Open Future: &#8216;will&#8217;, negation, credence, and an extended error-theory&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In Todd 2021 (<i>The Open Future: Why Future Contingents are All False<\/i>) I defended a kind of pragmatic &#8220;error-theory&#8221; regarding ordinary judgments about the interaction of &#8216;will&#8217; and negation.\u00a0 On the view I defended, &#8216;will&#8217; involves an essentially modal component, in the form of a universal quantifier over the &#8220;available&#8221; histories.\u00a0 But this view faces an objection: we do not tend to hear a distinction between &#8216;not: will&#8217; and &#8216;will not&#8217;.\u00a0 Response: that is because we typically assume (falsely, I suggest) that there is always only ever one available history, in which case the scope of the negation makes no difference.\u00a0 In this talk, I aim to review and clarify the essential components of this pragmatic account \u2014 and I attempt to sketch an improved story about how a similar strategy might help my &#8220;all false&#8221; open future view respond to a persistent objection involving credence.\u00a0 Here I try to build on some anti-&#8220;Molinist&#8221; remarks of Anscombe and van Inwagen regarding counterfactuals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In Todd 2021 (The Open Future: Why Future Contingents are All False) I defended a kind of pragmatic &#8220;error-theory&#8221; regarding ordinary judgments about the interaction of &#8216;will&#8217; and negation.\u00a0 On&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_tribe_events_status":"","_tribe_events_status_reason":"","_tribe_events_is_hybrid":"","_tribe_events_is_virtual":"","_tribe_events_virtual_video_source":"","_tribe_events_virtual_embed_video":"","_tribe_events_virtual_linked_button_text":"","_tribe_events_virtual_linked_button":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_embed_at":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_embed_to":[],"_tribe_events_virtual_show_on_event":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_on_views":"","_tribe_events_virtual_url":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"tribe_events_cat":[25],"class_list":["post-14478","tribe_events","type-tribe_events","status-publish","hentry","tribe_events_cat-metaphysics-and-logic-group","cat_metaphysics-and-logic-group"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/14478","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/tribe_events"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/14478\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14879,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/14478\/revisions\/14879"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14478"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14478"},{"taxonomy":"tribe_events_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events_cat?post=14478"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}