Title: Indicative Conditionals: Probabilities and Relevance<\/p>\n
Abstract:\u00a0Adams\u2019 Thesis claims that the acceptability of a simple indicative conditional equals\u00a0the corresponding conditional probability. The Thesis is widely endorsed, but arguably false and refuted by empirical research. To fix it, we submit, we need a\u00a0relevance constraint: we accept a simple conditional ‘If \u03d5, then \u03c8’ to the extent that (i)\u00a0the conditional probability p(\u03c8|\u03d5) is high, provided that (ii) \u03d5 is relevant for \u03c8.\u00a0How (i) should work is well-understood. It is (ii) that holds the key to improve our\u00a0understanding of conditionals.\u00a0We propose a formal framework giving acceptability and logical closure conditions for simple indicatives: its probabilistic component (i) uses Popper functions;\u00a0its relevance component (ii) is given via an algebraic structure of topics. We then\u00a0present the resulting logic. We argue that its (in)validities are both theoretically\u00a0desirable and in line with empirical results on how people reason with conditionals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Title: Indicative Conditionals: Probabilities and Relevance Abstract:\u00a0Adams\u2019 Thesis claims that the acceptability of a simple indicative conditional equals\u00a0the corresponding conditional probability. The Thesis is widely endorsed, but arguably false and…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_tribe_events_status":"","_tribe_events_status_reason":"","_tribe_events_is_hybrid":"","_tribe_events_is_virtual":"","_tribe_events_virtual_video_source":"","_tribe_events_virtual_embed_video":"","_tribe_events_virtual_linked_button_text":"","_tribe_events_virtual_linked_button":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_embed_at":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_embed_to":[],"_tribe_events_virtual_show_on_event":"","_tribe_events_virtual_show_on_views":"","_tribe_events_virtual_url":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"tribe_events_cat":[25],"class_list":["post-6011","tribe_events","type-tribe_events","status-publish","hentry","tribe_events_cat-metaphysics-and-logic-group","cat_metaphysics-and-logic-group"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/6011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/tribe_events"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/6011\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6856,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/6011\/revisions\/6856"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6011"},{"taxonomy":"tribe_events_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.st-andrews.ac.uk\/philevents\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events_cat?post=6011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}